Eurozone inflation hits record high of 8.1%

The Eurozone’s annual inflation rose to a record high of 8.1% in May, up from 7.4% in April, according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

The news intensifies the debate at the European Central Bank about how quickly to raise interest rates from the record lows of recent years.

Some analysts said the news could influence the ECB at its meeting in Amsterdam next week to raise rates at a more aggressive pace than currently expected.

The ECB is preparing to raise borrowing costs for the first time since 2011.

“The ECB won’t hike next week, but the pressure will continue to build for a 50 [basis point] move in July,” said Pictet economist Frederik Ducrozet.

Eurostat said: “Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in May (39.2%, compared with 37.5% in April), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (7.5%, compared with 6.3% in April), non-energy industrial goods (4.2%, compared with 3.8% in April) and services (3.5%, compared with 3.3% in April).”

Commerzbank economist Christoph Weil said: “Today’s price data once again increase the pressure on the ECB to end its ultra-loose monetary policy.”

The ECB has signaled that it would start raising rates in July, with incremental interest rate hikes.

ECB chief economist Philip Lane on Monday dismissed calls for anything larger than 25-basis-point rate hikes.

“Normalization has a natural focus on moving in units of 25 basis points,” said Lane.

“Our current assessment of the situation, where we think the medium-term inflation outlook is in line with our 2 per cent target, calls for a gradual approach to normalization.”

ING economist Bert Colijn said: “[A] broad-based surge in inflation — with core now at 3.8 percent — is adding pressure on the European Central Bank to act quickly.”

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Mark McSherry
Dalriada Media LLC sites are edited by veteran news journalist Mark McSherry, a former staff editor and reporter with Reuters, Bloomberg and major newspapers including the South China Morning Post, London's Sunday Times and The Scotsman. McSherry's journalism has also appeared in The Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The New York Times, London's Evening Standard and Forbes. McSherry is also a professor of journalism and communication arts in universities and colleges in New York City. Scottish-born McSherry has an MBA from the University of Edinburgh and a Certificate in Global Affairs from New York University.